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The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 0.25%. The Bank Rate is unchanged at 0.50% and the deposit rate is 0.25%.
The Bank of Canada said, "information received since the Bank's April Monetary Policy Report (MPR) is broadly consistent with the Bank's medium-term outlook for output and inflation in Canada." "The economy is undergoing major restructuring in a number of sectors. The already significant output gap will continue to widen through the third quarter, putting downward pressure on inflation. The Bank continues to expect that the global and Canadian recoveries will be more muted than usual." Conditional on the outlook for inflation, the bank said "the target overnight rate can be expected to remain at the current level until the end of the second quarter of 2010 in order to achieve the inflation target." Source: Bank of Canada
The International Capital Market Association (ICMA) announces the appointments of Martin Scheck as Chief Executive and René Karsenti as President, effective August 1, 2009. This combination strengthens ICMA’s focus on the development of the standard market practices which are an essential part of creating more integrated capital markets. Mr. Scheck will lead ICMA’s activities in promoting the development and efficient functioning of the international capital market. He has been a Board member of ICMA since 2004 and is the Chairman of its Audit, Compliance and Governance Committee. He joins the Association from UBS AG, Zurich, where he is currently Managing Director and Head of Swiss Fixed Income since 2001. René Karsenti who has held the post of Executive President since May 2006 will become President of the Association, with primary responsibilities to represent ICMA’s interests in its interaction with governments, regulatory bodies, other trade associations and international organisations together with Mr. Scheck. Hans-Joerg Rudloff, ICMA’s Chairman, said: “These appointments represent a considerable strengthening of ICMA’s executive management and enhance its services to its membership and the market. Martin Scheck has the skills and experience to deliver further improved operational efficiency. ICMA will also benefit further from René Karsenti’s knowledge, expertise and established relationships.” The announcement was made at the Association’s AGM in Montreux after the membership confirmed the Association’s mission and objectives as a self regulatory organisation and trade body.
Non-farm employment fell by 345,000, about half the average monthly decline for the prior 6 months, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. However, the unemployment rate spiked 5 basis points to 9.4% from 8.9%
Economist were expecting over half a million job losses and the unemployment rate to spike to 9.2%. The data surprisingly beat expectations on the headline but the unemployment rate raises questions. The number of unemployed persons increased by 787,000 to 14.5 million in May, bringing the unemployment rate to 9.4%. Over 7 million jobs have been lost since the start of the recession. Job losses were wide spread but the rate of decline moderated in most industries. Major highlights among the industries showed manufacturing jobs fell by 156,000 in May, Construction by 59,000, half of the average monthly loss; professional and business services declined 51,000, compared to an average loss of 136,000, while leisure and hospitality was flat over the month, compared to an average monthly loss of 39,000 over the past 6 months.
The pair has weakened substantially on political worries as UK's Prime Minister Brown future is uncertain. Thursday, the Pound fell over 300 points against the Dollar, amid rumors that PM Gordon Brown resigned. However, Brown's office said his resignation was untrue and said rumors were simply "nonsense". After briefly recovering slightly yesterday, the Pound extended losses on the announcement that James Purnell, Secretary of State Work and Pensions, resigned today and called for PM Brown to do the same.
Looking at the 4hour chart, GBP/USD fell to as low 1.6017 but is now back above 1.61. The fall may continue through next week as the political crisis unfolds in the UK. The markets took any excuse to lock in profits from the overextended move. The near term resistance is 1.6193, followed by 1.6440/50 (38.2% Fib level of the move from 2.1160 to 1.3547) as the next key level to watch. Support is now seen at 1.6015, followed by 1.5945, 1.5895 and 1.5860. Possible Buy setups at 1.5860 - Possible Sell setups at 1.6440. The moves to these points can be easily achieved with the current volatility Trading levels in play: There are no solid trade recommendations at the moment for intraday moves. Will follow up with comments if outlook changes. DISCLAIMER: Trading off-exchange currencies on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade the foreign exchange, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Before making your investment decisions please acknowledge that the information provided herein should not be taken without your own individual assessment and extensive investigation, it should not be preempted as your own trading strategies, investment advice and/or trading portfolio. The views, forecasts and strategies may not prove to be accurate and may not be appropriate for you. Additionally, the views, forecasts and strategies provided by the author are not necessarily those of Gorbe Investments Corp., ForexDistrict, its owners, employees or other affiliates and/or contributors. Gorbe Investments Corp., ForexDistrict and the technical analysts will not be responsible for any loss incurred as a result of any information provided in this section. As such, Gorbe Investments Corp., ForexDistrict and the technical analysts do not provide investment advice, trading signals and/or any other professional advice such as legal, accounting, financial, etc... ForexDistrict provides this section only for general information; please contact an expert professional if any of these advices are needed. __________________________
USD/JPY Open 96.64 High 96.97 Low 95.87 Close 96.57 Dollar/Yen climbed yesterday. The currency couple reached a peak of 96.97, but failed to close the day above the key 96.65 resistance level, finishing the day at 96.57. Consistent movement over this zone may trigger a further bullish impetus towards 97.55. Trading signals are neutral in the short and medium term. Immediate support is represented by the 96.00 level. Going under this level could lead to further descending movement towards next target 94.60. The CCI indicator is about to cross up the 100 line on the daily and 4 hour chart, and down on the 1 hour chart, suggesting uncertain direction.Technical resistance levels: 96.95 97.55 98.80 Technical support levels: 96.00 94.60 93.20 Trading range: 96.60 - 97.25 Trend: Upward Buy at 96.74 SL 96.44 TP 97.14 ![]()
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