Forex (British pound rises to improve the housing
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British pound rises to improve the housing market?

The British pound has recently seen 3 months against the U.S. dollar and market bets the currency will continue to launch "speculators pay 0.25 percentage point premium for a period of one week to the options purchase the book according to data compiled by Bloomberg. "In other words, most investors believe that the high level of books they believe will fall.

Pound is doing well, especially against the euro and the possibility of increasing the size of the parity. "There are more and more people believe that there will be a prolonged slowdown of the euro against the pound, in particular" summarizes an analyst.

Attribute Bulls to a sudden improvement in the property. "Review of the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors), and found that the new investigations in the housing market has increased for the fifth month of March," on track to come within six years. Agency real estate loan, which would be necessary to support this growing demand, and rising, although the "low low". On the other hand, prices are still declining in most markets, real estate agents remain pessimistic.

The economic situation remains bleak. Economic review of the agenda, the UK financial sector at a time, there seems to be (a) and settled most of the economic indicators are still down. "Economists expect that the Treasury would be 3-3.5% expect the slowdown in the economy this year, far more than expected in November for the slowdown 0,75-1,25 percent." The budget is scheduled to be released later this week, and analysts expect a big budget to be driven by increased loans and / or printing of new money. It arises, and the Bank of England the same position as their counterparts in the EU and the United States, which means that the book should trade at a constant level against the dollar and euro.

In short, it is unclear whether the recent trend is the result of technical factors or to book a real improvement in the basic situation. In technical terms, it is likely to be excessive in order to avoid currency risk and the current rise of the coin is a retreat. Thus, there is no evidence that the British economy has turned the page and / or plan for the Bank of England show signs of success, and I advise skepticism.
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