http://www.antiwar.com/orig/hi
rsch.php?articleid=7649

The stage is set for a chain
of events that could lead to
nuclear war over chemical
weapons in the immediate
future. If these events
unfold, the trigger will be
Israel, the target Iran, the
nuclear aggressor the U.S.
These are the reasons:

The U.S. State Depa
more

http://www.antiwar.com/orig/hi
rsch.php?articleid=7649

The stage is set for a chain
of events that could lead to
nuclear war over chemical
weapons in the immediate
future. If these events
unfold, the trigger will be
Israel, the target Iran, the
nuclear aggressor the U.S.
These are the reasons:

The U.S. State Department
determined in August 2005 that
'Iran is in violation of its
CWC [Chemical Weapons
Convention] obligations
because Iran is acting to
retain and modernize key
elements of its CW
infrastructure to include an
offensive CW R&D capability
and dispersed mobilization
facilities.'
According to the CIA, 'Iran
likely has already stockpiled
blister, blood, choking, and
probably nerve agents -- and
the bombs and artillery shells
to deliver them -- which it
previously had manufactured.'

According to (then
undersecretary for arms
control and international
security, now U.S. ambassador
to the UN) John Bolton's
testimony to the House of
Representatives (June 24,
2004), 'We believe Iran has a
covert program to develop and
stockpile chemical weapons,'
and on Iran's ballistic
missiles, 'Iran continues its
extensive efforts to develop
the means to deliver weapons
of mass destruction,' and 'The
1,300-km range Shahab-3
missile is a direct threat to
Israel, Turkey, U.S. forces in
the region, and U.S. friends
and allies.'
In the IAEA resolution of
Sept. 24 [.pdf], Iran was
found to be in 'noncompliance'
with its NPT safeguards
agreements.
Members of the Israeli
parliament from across the
political spectrum are urging
the United States to stop
Iran's nuclear programs, or
Israel will 'act
unilaterally.' Statements of
grave concern about Iran's
nuclear program have been made
by Defense Minister Shaul
Mofaz, Foreign Minister Silvan
Shalom, and Mossad chief Meir
Dagan (Iran poses an
'existential threat' to
Israel). Shin Bet chief Avi
Dichter accuses Iran of
plotting relentlessly to
attack Israeli targets.
According to the head of the
Russian Atomic Energy
Organization, Alexander
Rumyantsev, Russia will ship
the first cargo of nuclear
fuel for Iran's Bushehr's
reactor at the end of 2005 or
early 2006.
Israel bombed Iraq's Osirak
nuclear reactor (which was
under IAEA supervision) in
1981 just before nuclear fuel
was loaded into it (to prevent
nuclear fallout).
President Bush has said that
'all options are on the table'
if diplomacy fails to halt
Iran's nuclear program.
The U.S. House of
Representatives on May 6,
2004, by a vote of 376-3,
called on the United States to
use all appropriate means to
deter, dissuade, and prevent
Iran from acquiring nuclear
weapons.
In the recently released draft
document 'Doctrine for Joint
Nuclear Operations' [.pdf],
the Pentagon states that it
will respond to the threat of
WMD (which includes chemical
and biological weapons) with
nuclear weapons.
Conclusion: according to
Israel, the U.S.
administration, and 99.2
percent of the U.S. House of
Representatives, Iran will not
be allowed to have access to
any nuclear technology. No
diplomatic options to achieve
that goal will remain when
Russia and China veto Security
Council sanctions, or if the
IAEA refuses on Nov. 24 to
refer Iran to the Security
Council. Military action will
occur before Russia ships
uranium fuel to Iran, and will
inevitably lead to the use of
nuclear weapons by the U.S.
against Iran.

How will it all get started?
No matter how much Bush and
Cheney want it, the U.S.
Senate is unlikely to
authorize the bombing of
Iranian installations out of
the blue. Unless there is some
major disturbance in Iraq that
can be blamed on Iran, Israel
is likely to pull the trigger.
It knows how to and has every
motivation to do so.

Once Israel drops the first
bomb on an Iranian nuclear
facility, as it did with
Iraq's Osirak reactor in 1981,
there is no return. Bushehr is
likely to be the first target;
other installations will
follow.

Iran will respond -- how can
it not? At a minimum, it will
shoot missiles at Israel. It
may or may not shoot at U.S.
forces in Iraq initially, but
given the U.S.-Israel 'special
relationship,' there is no way
the U.S. will stay out of the
conflict. Many of Iran's
targeted facilities are
underground, and U.S. bombs
will be needed to destroy them
all.

Once the U.S. enters the
conflict, 150,000 U.S. troops
in Iraq will be at risk of
Iranian missiles with chemical
warheads, or of being overrun
by Iran's conventional forces
streaming into Iraq. According
to the Pentagon planning
[.pdf], nuclear weapons will
be used:

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Tags Israel, Iran, and, the, US:, Nuclear, War, Here, We, Come, by, Jorge, Hirsch, LethalKillingMachine